Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Chytil wins 37.5% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 45.0% vs Barzal 46.9% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 56.9%
Defensive zone
Barzal 54.9%
Neutral zone
Chytil 55.3%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Chytil
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Chytil
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
Chytil
Barzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chytil
1
0
Chytil
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (283)
46.6% (483)
-4.6%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
40.9% (22)
+16.8%
On power play, Chytil has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Chytil is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Chytil shoots left. Barzal is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Chytil
Barzal
Home
42.8% (152)
49.6% (242)
Away
44.0% (159)
43.3% (263)
By Period
Chytil
Barzal
P1
44.0%
42.4%
P2
44.4%
49.5%
P3
40.9%
47.7%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
54.0%▲
48.5%
43.4%
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 13:38 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 16:17 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |