Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 48.5%). Chytil wins 60.6% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 49.5% vs Dowd 48.6% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chytil 81.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 79.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 50.5%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 81.1%
81.1%
18.9%
Chytil
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Chytil
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chytil
1
0
Chytil
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (114)
51.0% (671)
-2.8%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
0.0% (2)
+62.5%
On power play, Chytil has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Chytil is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (33).
Chytil shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Home / Away
Chytil
Dowd
Home
54.8% (73)
48.2% (471)
Away
40.8% (49)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Chytil
Dowd
P1
43.1%
48.3%
P2
59.5%
46.8%
P3
40.7%
51.0%
OT
100.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
54.3%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
49.2%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 10:15 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |