Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Chytil wins 41.9% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 47.3% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chytil 53.2%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 52.0%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 56.9%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Chytil
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Chytil
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Chytil
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chytil
1
0
Chytil
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (61)
55.0% (1,084)
-12.4%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
56.8% (303)
-6.8%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Chytil is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (43).
Chytil shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Chytil
O'Reilly
Home
47.8% (23)
54.8% (759)
Away
40.9% (44)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Chytil
O'Reilly
P1
35.7%
55.3%
P2
56.5%
51.9%
P3
33.3%
54.2%
OT
100.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
57.1%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
54.0%▲
48.5%
43.3%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 08:20 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |