Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nazar on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nazar wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 47.3% vs Eichel 48.2% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 50.4%
Defensive zone
Eichel 50.1%
Neutral zone
Nazar 50.2%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Nazar
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Nazar
Eichel
Last 6: Nazar 3-3 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
2
1
Nazar
Eichel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
2
Nazar
Eichel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (574)
48.2% (909)
-1.0%
Power Play
51.0% (143)
55.2% (67)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
30.2% (43)
41.2% (97)
-11.0%
On penalty kill, Eichel has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Nazar is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Nazar shoots right. Eichel is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Nazar
Eichel
Home
45.0% (329)
48.0% (564)
Away
48.5% (431)
47.9% (509)
By Period
Nazar
Eichel
P1
47.8%
49.8%
P2
43.4%
48.6%
P3
48.4%
46.7%
OT
75.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
45.1%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
60.0%▲
51.0%
47.0%
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 06:31 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 12:31 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 06:48 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 16:33 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |