Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 46.2%). Look for Nazar on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Nazar wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Barron shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 47.3% vs Barron 46.8% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Nazar leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Nazar 92.4%
Defensive zone
Barron 75.7%
Neutral zone
Nazar 68.8%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Nazar
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Nazar
Barron
Last 10: Nazar 7-3 Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
5
1
Nazar
Barron
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barron
0
1
Nazar
Barron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nazar
2
1
Nazar
Barron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (574)
48.6% (381)
-1.4%
Power Play
51.0% (143)
33.3% (3)
+17.7%
Penalty Kill
30.2% (43)
41.7% (187)
-11.5%
On power play, Nazar has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. Nazar is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Nazar shoots right. Barron is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Home / Away
Nazar
Barron
Home
45.0% (329)
44.4% (306)
Away
48.5% (431)
48.3% (265)
By Period
Nazar
Barron
P1
47.8%
45.5%
P2
43.4%
49.8%
P3
48.4%
43.1%
OT
75.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.1%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
60.0%▲
51.0%
47.0%
Barron
44.0%▲
41.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 14:58 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 03:08 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 17:54 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 09:58 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 13:02 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 13:02 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 11:53 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 11:57 | Offensive | Morgan Barron |