Scouting Report
Morgan Barron holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nazar on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Nazar wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Barron shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 46.2% vs Barron 48.0% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Nazar leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Nazar 72.7%
Defensive zone
Barron 77.2%
Neutral zone
Nazar 59.9%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Nazar
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Nazar
Barron
Last 10: Nazar 7-3 Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
6
1
Nazar
Barron
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barron
0
1
Nazar
Barron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nazar
2
1
Nazar
Barron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (907)
49.4% (741)
-3.1%
Power Play
48.1% (183)
50.0% (6)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (73)
42.3% (222)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, Barron has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. Nazar is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Nazar shoots right. Barron is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (317).
Home / Away
Nazar
Barron
Home
44.2% (536)
45.2% (480)
Away
47.4% (627)
50.3% (489)
By Period
Nazar
Barron
P1
47.7%
48.0%
P2
42.2%
50.7%
P3
47.1%
44.7%
OT
66.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
60.0%▲
51.0%
45.9%
Barron
44.0%▲
41.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 14:58 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 03:08 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 17:54 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 09:58 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 13:02 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 13:02 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 11:53 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 11:57 | Offensive | Morgan Barron |