Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nazar wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 46.2% vs Kadri 48.6% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 53.5%
Defensive zone
Nazar 59.9%
Neutral zone
Nazar 54.0%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Nazar
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Nazar
Kadri
Last 7: Nazar 2-5 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
2
Nazar
Kadri
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nazar
Kadri
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
2
Nazar
Kadri
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (907)
48.1% (12,555)
-1.8%
Power Play
48.1% (183)
53.0% (1,892)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (73)
41.0% (293)
-5.4%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Nazar is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Nazar shoots right. Kadri is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (5,341).
Home / Away
Nazar
Kadri
Home
44.2% (536)
49.1% (7,493)
Away
47.4% (627)
48.1% (7,250)
By Period
Nazar
Kadri
P1
47.7%
49.1%
P2
42.2%
48.7%
P3
47.1%
47.9%
OT
66.7%
49.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
60.0%▲
51.0%
45.9%
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 16:40 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 01:44 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:22 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:16 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 09:25 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 1 | 10:00 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |