Scouting Report
Pierre-Luc Dubois holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nazar wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 45.7% vs Dubois 49.7% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nazar 66.6%
Defensive zone
Nazar 65.8%
Neutral zone
Nazar 69.1%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Nazar
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Nazar
Dubois
Last 5: Nazar 0-5 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
3
Nazar
Dubois
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
2
Nazar
Dubois
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (314)
49.8% (1,064)
-4.6%
Power Play
39.5% (38)
46.3% (67)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
53.3% (30)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Nazar is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Nazar shoots right. Dubois is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Nazar
Dubois
Home
43.4% (196)
48.3% (582)
Away
45.9% (185)
51.1% (579)
By Period
Nazar
Dubois
P1
47.3%
52.0%
P2
40.3%
49.9%
P3
46.7%
46.9%
OT
33.3%
64.3%
Final 5 min
47.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.6%
Dubois
42.0%▼
47.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2025 | 3 | 03:46 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 05:24 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 09:19 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 09:15 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 03:47 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |