Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.6% vs 44.1%). Look for Nazar on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Nazar wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Byfield shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 45.7% vs Byfield 44.6% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nazar 61.9%
Defensive zone
Nazar 62.8%
Neutral zone
Nazar 68.2%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Nazar
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Nazar
Byfield
Last 7: Nazar 6-1 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
2
1
Nazar
Byfield
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nazar
4
0
Nazar
Byfield
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (314)
44.5% (853)
+0.7%
Power Play
39.5% (38)
42.9% (21)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
38.2% (68)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Nazar has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Nazar is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Nazar shoots right. Byfield is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Nazar
Byfield
Home
43.4% (196)
43.8% (502)
Away
45.9% (185)
44.3% (440)
By Period
Nazar
Byfield
P1
47.3%
44.2%
P2
40.3%
43.0%
P3
46.7%
45.0%
OT
33.3%
46.2%
Final 5 min
47.8%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
60.0%▲
51.0%
44.6%
Byfield
54.0%▼
57.0%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 16:55 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 09:44 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 03:02 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 04:00 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |