Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Nielsen wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Evans 52.2% (-3.7%)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 70.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 72.6%
Neutral zone
Evans 50.2%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Nielsen
Evans
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
53.7% (3,740)
-4.4%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
60.6% (71)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
47.1% (1,228)
-5.4%
On power play, Evans has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Nielsen is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,660).
Nielsen shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,738).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Evans
Home
49.9% (4,766)
53.3% (2,621)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
51.0% (2,418)
By Period
Nielsen
Evans
P1
49.7%
54.0%
P2
47.6%
50.9%
P3
48.2%
52.0%
OT
46.6%
46.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%