Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Eller 50.5% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 29-27 in 56 meetings
Offensive zone
Nielsen 54.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 51.0%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 50.3%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Nielsen
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
29
(56 meetings)
27
29
Nielsen
Eller
Last 10: Nielsen 4-6 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
9
10
Nielsen
Eller
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
5
11
Nielsen
Eller
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
13
8
Nielsen
Eller
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
51.1% (10,321)
-1.8%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
52.8% (621)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
46.6% (1,759)
-4.9%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Nielsen shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,142).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Eller
Home
49.9% (4,766)
51.4% (6,122)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
49.7% (6,607)
By Period
Nielsen
Eller
P1
49.7%
51.2%
P2
47.6%
50.1%
P3
48.2%
50.2%
OT
46.6%
56.7%
Final 5 min
48.7%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 09:21 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 3 | 06:55 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 05:10 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 01:14 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 01:08 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 1 | 14:08 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 1 | 10:09 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 18:52 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 02:17 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 02:08 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 17:05 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 16:07 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 00:20 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 00:42 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 05:23 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 3 | 15:37 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 19:49 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 02:14 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 3 | 16:04 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |