Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 48.3%). Look for Geekie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nielsen wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Geekie 48.4% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 64.1%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 64.0%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 52.3%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Nielsen
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Nielsen
Geekie
Last 6: Nielsen 2-4 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
3
Nielsen
Geekie
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
1
Nielsen
Geekie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
48.7% (2,289)
+0.6%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
45.9% (183)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
45.7% (129)
-4.0%
On power play, Nielsen has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Nielsen is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,660).
Nielsen shoots left. Geekie is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,909).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Geekie
Home
49.9% (4,766)
50.0% (1,277)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
46.8% (1,324)
By Period
Nielsen
Geekie
P1
49.7%
48.4%
P2
47.6%
48.9%
P3
48.2%
47.5%
OT
46.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.7%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Geekie
42.0%▼
44.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 17:58 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 07:08 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 08:58 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 05:42 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 05:32 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 02:21 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |