Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Nielsen wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Schmaltz 42.6% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 68.8%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 94.5%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 88.9%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 87.5%
87.5%
12.5%
Nielsen
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
0
(9 meetings)
9
0
Nielsen
Schmaltz
Last 9: Nielsen 9-0 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
0
Nielsen
Schmaltz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
5
0
Nielsen
Schmaltz
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
0
Nielsen
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
41.3% (3,431)
+8.0%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
47.3% (655)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
47.4% (135)
-5.7%
On even strength, Nielsen has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Nielsen is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,660).
Nielsen shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,049).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Schmaltz
Home
49.9% (4,766)
42.8% (2,114)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
42.0% (2,107)
By Period
Nielsen
Schmaltz
P1
49.7%
41.3%
P2
47.6%
42.8%
P3
48.2%
43.1%
OT
46.6%
42.4%
Final 5 min
48.7%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2019 | 1 | 12:21 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 00:34 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 11:52 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 11:31 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 16:38 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 03:32 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 03:19 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 14, 2018 | 3 | 01:10 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 14, 2018 | 1 | 18:37 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |