Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Sestito 46.0% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Sestito leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Nielsen 51.0%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 56.4%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 52.3%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Nielsen
Sestito
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Nielsen
Sestito
Last 10: Nielsen 5-5 Sestito
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sestito
1
2
Nielsen
Sestito
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sestito
0
3
Nielsen
Sestito
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
4
0
Nielsen
Sestito
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Sestito
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
45.7% (457)
+3.6%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
55.6% (9)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
34.2% (38)
+7.5%
On penalty kill, Nielsen has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sestito shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Nielsen shoots left. Sestito is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Sestito
Home
49.9% (4,766)
48.0% (273)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
41.9% (234)
By Period
Nielsen
Sestito
P1
49.7%
42.5%
P2
47.6%
42.1%
P3
48.2%
52.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Sestito
36.0%▼
44.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2015 | 1 | 03:35 | Defensive | Tim Sestito |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 2 | 10:49 | Defensive | Tim Sestito |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 2 | 03:29 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 1 | 18:45 | Offensive | Tim Sestito |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 2 | 04:20 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 1 | 19:30 | Defensive | Tim Sestito |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 1 | 11:28 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 03:02 | Offensive | Tim Sestito |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 12:22 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |