Scouting Report
Fraser Minten holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kindel on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kindel wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Minten shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 44.9% vs Minten 48.8% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 70.6%
Defensive zone
Minten 76.4%
Neutral zone
Minten 79.6%
Result
Fraser Minten favored at 74.2%
25.8%
74.2%
Kindel
Minten
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kindel
Minten
Last 5: Kindel 4-1 Minten
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kindel
2
1
Kindel
Minten
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kindel
2
0
Kindel
Minten
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Minten
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (518)
49.6% (651)
-6.5%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
48.0% (50)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
35.6% (45)
+14.4%
On penalty kill, Kindel has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Minten shoots left. Kindel is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Kindel shoots right. Minten is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (269).
Home / Away
Kindel
Minten
Home
45.0% (291)
52.4% (349)
Away
43.0% (284)
45.3% (397)
By Period
Kindel
Minten
P1
40.6%
45.4%
P2
46.1%
47.1%
P3
41.5%
52.3%
OT
92.9%
83.3%
Final 5 min
38.3%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
38.0%▬
37.0%
44.0%
Minten
52.0%▲
50.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 14:44 | Neutral | Ben Kindel |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 10:21 | Neutral | Ben Kindel |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 06:34 | Offensive | Ben Kindel |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 04:25 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 14:53 | Offensive | Ben Kindel |