Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.8% vs Dickinson 49.7% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 69.5%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 78.1%
Neutral zone
Minten 50.6%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Minten
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Minten
Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
0
1
Minten
Dickinson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Minten
2
0
Minten
Dickinson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (651)
51.9% (670)
-2.3%
Power Play
48.0% (50)
66.7% (9)
-18.7%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (45)
39.1% (156)
-3.5%
On power play, Dickinson has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Minten is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Minten shoots left. Dickinson is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Home / Away
Minten
Dickinson
Home
52.4% (349)
48.7% (431)
Away
45.3% (397)
50.7% (404)
By Period
Minten
Dickinson
P1
45.4%
43.4%
P2
47.1%
54.9%
P3
52.3%
49.6%
OT
83.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.5%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
52.0%▲
50.0%
48.7%
Dickinson
54.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 19:14 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 08:00 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 02:22 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |