Fraser Minten vs Joel Eriksson Ek
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.7% vs 49.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.8% vs Ek 49.2% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 53.6%
Defensive zone
Ek 61.2%
Neutral zone
Ek 56.9%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Minten
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Minten
Ek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Minten
2
0
Minten
Ek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Minten
Ek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (651)
48.1% (858)
+1.5%
Power Play
48.0% (50)
53.3% (272)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (45)
47.9% (188)
-12.3%
On penalty kill, Ek has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Minten is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Minten shoots left. Ek is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Home / Away
Minten
Ek
Home
52.4% (349)
49.9% (693)
Away
45.3% (397)
48.3% (625)
By Period
Minten
Ek
P1
45.4%
47.4%
P2
47.1%
53.1%
P3
52.3%
46.3%
OT
83.3%
54.9%
Final 5 min
46.5%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
52.0%▲
50.0%
48.7%
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 00:54 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 00:42 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 13:00 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 08:53 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |