Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Minten on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.3% vs Staal 55.3% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 77.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 93.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 89.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 86.0%
14.0%
86.0%
Minten
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Minten
Staal
Last 9: Minten 8-1 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Minten
3
0
Minten
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Minten
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Minten
5
0
Minten
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (841)
55.9% (14,654)
-7.0%
Power Play
47.5% (61)
62.7% (1,762)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (49)
47.9% (2,907)
-11.2%
On power play, Staal has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Minten is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (624).
Minten shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,805).
Home / Away
Minten
Staal
Home
51.9% (476)
56.4% (9,699)
Away
44.4% (475)
54.3% (9,689)
By Period
Minten
Staal
P1
44.4%
55.2%
P2
46.8%
55.9%
P3
52.3%
54.8%
OT
83.3%
56.2%
Final 5 min
44.7%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
52.0%▲
50.0%
48.2%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 13:02 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 04:05 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 00:21 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 05:51 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 02:43 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 06:01 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |