Fraser Minten vs Mark Jankowski
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.3% vs Jankowski 50.4% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 65.3%
Defensive zone
Minten 52.6%
Neutral zone
Minten 59.3%
Result
Fraser Minten favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Minten
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Minten
Jankowski
Last 9: Minten 3-6 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
2
Minten
Jankowski
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
2
Minten
Jankowski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
2
Minten
Jankowski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (841)
51.5% (3,490)
-2.6%
Power Play
47.5% (61)
53.7% (95)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (49)
42.7% (534)
-6.0%
On power play, Jankowski has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Minten is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (624).
Minten shoots left. Jankowski is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,549).
Home / Away
Minten
Jankowski
Home
51.9% (476)
51.8% (1,961)
Away
44.4% (475)
49.1% (2,158)
By Period
Minten
Jankowski
P1
44.4%
49.8%
P2
46.8%
51.1%
P3
52.3%
50.3%
OT
83.3%
20.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
52.0%▲
50.0%
48.2%
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 14:16 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 07:10 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 16:33 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 13:10 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 3 | 06:12 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 1 | 10:37 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 1 | 10:33 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |