Fraser Minten vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.7% vs 48.5%). Look for Dubois on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.8% vs Dubois 48.9% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 55.2%
Defensive zone
Minten 54.0%
Neutral zone
Minten 52.8%
Result
Fraser Minten favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Minten
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Minten
Dubois
Last 9: Minten 5-4 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
2
3
Minten
Dubois
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Minten
Dubois
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Minten
2
0
Minten
Dubois
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (651)
44.8% (259)
+4.8%
Power Play
48.0% (50)
70.6% (34)
-22.6%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (45)
75.0% (8)
-39.4%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +39.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Minten is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Minten shoots left. Dubois is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Home / Away
Minten
Dubois
Home
52.4% (349)
46.6% (163)
Away
45.3% (397)
50.7% (138)
By Period
Minten
Dubois
P1
45.4%
44.0%
P2
47.1%
51.5%
P3
52.3%
49.5%
OT
83.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
52.0%▲
50.0%
48.7%
Dubois
40.0%▼
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 08:28 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 11:14 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 00:36 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 09:07 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 08:57 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 11:30 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 05:26 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |