Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.3% vs Kuraly 50.4% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 79.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 71.2%
Neutral zone
Minten 55.8%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Minten
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Minten
Kuraly
Last 5: Minten 2-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Minten
2
0
Minten
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
3
Minten
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (841)
51.6% (5,161)
-2.7%
Power Play
47.5% (61)
56.4% (101)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (49)
44.4% (1,091)
-7.7%
On power play, Kuraly has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Minten is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (624).
Minten shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Home / Away
Minten
Kuraly
Home
51.9% (476)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
44.4% (475)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Minten
Kuraly
P1
44.4%
51.2%
P2
46.8%
50.0%
P3
52.3%
50.2%
OT
83.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
44.7%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
52.0%▲
50.0%
48.2%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025 | 2 | 10:04 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 1 | 11:27 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 1 | 02:36 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 1 | 02:30 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 1 | 02:21 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |