Fraser Minten vs Vincent Trocheck
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Minten wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.8% vs Trocheck 56.2% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 75.0%
Defensive zone
Minten 80.0%
Neutral zone
Minten 73.7%
Result
Fraser Minten favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
Minten
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Minten
Trocheck
Last 5: Minten 1-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
Minten
Trocheck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Minten
1
0
Minten
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
Minten
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (651)
58.0% (666)
-8.4%
Power Play
48.0% (50)
64.8% (165)
-16.8%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (45)
43.4% (152)
-7.8%
On power play, Trocheck has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Minten is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (269).
Minten shoots left. Trocheck is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
Minten
Trocheck
Home
52.4% (349)
55.3% (436)
Away
45.3% (397)
58.1% (547)
By Period
Minten
Trocheck
P1
45.4%
56.4%
P2
47.1%
58.7%
P3
52.3%
55.5%
OT
83.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.5%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
52.0%▲
50.0%
48.7%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 14:38 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 14:27 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 19:27 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 16:48 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |