Frederick Gaudreau vs Jack Hughes
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Hughes 39.5% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 81.7%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 84.0%
Neutral zone
Hughes 66.0%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 81.7%
18.3%
81.7%
Gaudreau
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Gaudreau
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
1
Gaudreau
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (414)
36.7% (305)
+8.2%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
14.3% (7)
+17.5%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (129)
33.3% (6)
+4.7%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Gaudreau shoots right. Hughes is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Hughes
Home
42.6% (277)
35.8% (159)
Away
43.1% (288)
36.5% (159)
By Period
Gaudreau
Hughes
P1
44.1%
42.3%
P2
44.7%
28.2%
P3
39.5%
37.2%
Final 5 min
47.2%
27.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 06:33 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |