Frederick Gaudreau vs Jason Spezza
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 50.0% vs Spezza 52.4% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 53.6%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 71.0%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 59.7%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Gaudreau
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Gaudreau
Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Gaudreau
Spezza
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Gaudreau
Spezza
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (733)
53.7% (451)
-4.6%
Power Play
60.0% (80)
54.3% (92)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (109)
38.2% (34)
+10.4%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Gaudreau is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Gaudreau shoots right. Spezza is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Spezza
Home
53.0% (483)
55.0% (282)
Away
46.7% (439)
50.8% (295)
By Period
Gaudreau
Spezza
P1
53.5%
53.1%
P2
47.5%
53.2%
P3
49.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
45.4%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
42.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 13:05 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 01:59 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |