Frederick Gaudreau vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.7% vs Pageau 54.7% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 16-11 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 74.0%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 76.9%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 78.6%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Gaudreau
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
16
(27 meetings)
11
16
Gaudreau
Pageau
Last 10: Gaudreau 6-4 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
5
9
Gaudreau
Pageau
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
6
4
Gaudreau
Pageau
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
3
Gaudreau
Pageau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (3,671)
55.7% (9,301)
-6.9%
Power Play
55.0% (209)
56.8% (989)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (749)
49.5% (2,019)
-3.0%
On even strength, Pageau has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Gaudreau is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,261).
Gaudreau shoots right. Pageau is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (3,661).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Pageau
Home
49.4% (2,377)
56.3% (6,136)
Away
48.0% (2,252)
53.2% (6,173)
By Period
Gaudreau
Pageau
P1
49.8%
54.7%
P2
47.3%
56.2%
P3
49.3%
53.3%
OT
36.7%
54.5%
Final 5 min
47.8%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
42.0%▼
47.5%
48.7%
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2025 | 3 | 13:28 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:46 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 2 | 18:51 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 2 | 07:30 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:50 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 1 | 14:21 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 1 | 07:01 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 1 | 04:12 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 1 | 01:15 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 11:14 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 07:23 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 07:17 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 04:03 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 04:04 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 01:03 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 2 | 11:13 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 1 | 10:57 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 10:51 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |