Frederick Gaudreau vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Pageau 54.8% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 16-11 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 75.0%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 76.8%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 80.6%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 76.3%
76.3%
23.7%
Gaudreau
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
16
(27 meetings)
11
16
Gaudreau
Pageau
Last 10: Gaudreau 6-4 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
5
9
Gaudreau
Pageau
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
6
4
Gaudreau
Pageau
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
3
Gaudreau
Pageau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (3,770)
55.8% (9,525)
-7.2%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
57.0% (1,008)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (793)
49.6% (2,077)
-2.9%
On even strength, Pageau has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Gaudreau is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,283).
Gaudreau shoots right. Pageau is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,739).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Pageau
Home
49.2% (2,437)
56.3% (6,267)
Away
47.8% (2,345)
53.4% (6,343)
By Period
Gaudreau
Pageau
P1
49.7%
54.7%
P2
47.3%
56.3%
P3
49.1%
53.5%
OT
35.5%
54.4%
Final 5 min
47.6%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
48.5%
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2025 | 3 | 13:28 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:46 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 2 | 18:51 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 2 | 07:30 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:50 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 1 | 14:21 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 1 | 07:01 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 1 | 04:12 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 1 | 01:15 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 11:14 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 07:23 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 07:17 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 04:03 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 04:04 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 01:03 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 2 | 11:13 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 1 | 10:57 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 10:51 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |