Frederick Gaudreau vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.3% vs Kotkaniemi 51.3% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 72.8%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 68.5%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 61.7%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Gaudreau
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Gaudreau
Kotkaniemi
Last 7: Gaudreau 4-3 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudreau
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudreau
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
1
Gaudreau
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (770)
51.8% (637)
-3.4%
Power Play
58.7% (46)
48.2% (56)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (199)
42.9% (7)
+7.4%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Gaudreau is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (744).
Gaudreau shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Kotkaniemi
Home
51.1% (507)
53.1% (339)
Away
47.4% (508)
49.9% (361)
By Period
Gaudreau
Kotkaniemi
P1
49.4%
48.3%
P2
47.4%
55.0%
P3
51.2%
50.4%
OT
46.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
42.0%▼
47.5%
49.3%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:39 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 15:57 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 14:39 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 10:32 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 10:12 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |