Frederick Gaudreau vs Joe Pavelski
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Pavelski 54.1% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Gaudreau leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 92.1%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 68.2%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 82.7%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 78.7%
21.3%
78.7%
Gaudreau
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
7
(17 meetings)
10
7
Gaudreau
Pavelski
Last 10: Gaudreau 6-4 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
4
Gaudreau
Pavelski
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
6
2
Gaudreau
Pavelski
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
3
1
Gaudreau
Pavelski
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (3,770)
53.6% (8,791)
-5.0%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
58.2% (2,122)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (793)
50.9% (1,138)
-4.2%
On even strength, Pavelski has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Gaudreau is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,283).
Gaudreau shoots right. Pavelski is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,971).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Pavelski
Home
49.2% (2,437)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
47.8% (2,345)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Gaudreau
Pavelski
P1
49.7%
53.5%
P2
47.3%
55.2%
P3
49.1%
53.9%
OT
35.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
47.6%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
48.5%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2024 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 08:58 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 1 | 06:31 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 2 | 09:22 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 2 | 03:37 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 1 | 09:47 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 4, 2022 | OT | 00:31 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 07:52 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 04:44 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 03:21 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 03:13 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 20, 2021 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 3 | 02:43 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 05:48 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |