Frederick Gaudreau vs John Tavares
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Tavares 54.4% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Gaudreau leads 19-11 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 96.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 73.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 88.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 86.5%
13.5%
86.5%
Gaudreau
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
11
(30 meetings)
19
11
Gaudreau
Tavares
Last 10: Gaudreau 8-2 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
7
5
Gaudreau
Tavares
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
8
2
Gaudreau
Tavares
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Gaudreau
Tavares
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (3,770)
54.0% (16,150)
-5.4%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
56.4% (4,292)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (793)
50.5% (624)
-3.8%
On even strength, Tavares has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,499).
Gaudreau shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,570).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Tavares
Home
49.2% (2,437)
56.1% (10,525)
Away
47.8% (2,345)
52.7% (10,570)
By Period
Gaudreau
Tavares
P1
49.7%
55.0%
P2
47.3%
54.1%
P3
49.1%
54.0%
OT
35.5%
55.9%
Final 5 min
47.6%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
48.5%
Tavares
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 15:30 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 15:02 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 12:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 3 | 12:59 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 15:21 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 11:29 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 06:43 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 02:28 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 3 | 13:20 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 3 | 12:31 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |