Frederick Gaudreau vs Jordan Staal
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Staal 55.3% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Gaudreau leads 20-18 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 77.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 62.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 69.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 69.5%
30.5%
69.5%
Gaudreau
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
18
(38 meetings)
20
18
Gaudreau
Staal
Last 10: Gaudreau 6-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
7
Gaudreau
Staal
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
7
5
Gaudreau
Staal
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
8
6
Gaudreau
Staal
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (3,770)
55.9% (14,654)
-7.3%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
62.7% (1,762)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (793)
47.9% (2,907)
-1.2%
On power play, Staal has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,499).
Gaudreau shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,583).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Staal
Home
49.2% (2,437)
56.4% (9,699)
Away
47.8% (2,345)
54.3% (9,689)
By Period
Gaudreau
Staal
P1
49.7%
55.2%
P2
47.3%
55.9%
P3
49.1%
54.8%
OT
35.5%
56.2%
Final 5 min
47.6%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
48.5%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 18:31 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 16:48 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 16:35 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 13:24 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 18:24 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 15:25 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 03:44 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 10:45 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 05:45 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 13:23 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 06:57 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 02:57 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:13 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |