Frederick Gaudreau vs Josh Norris

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Josh Norris holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Gaudreau wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Gaudreau 43.9% vs Norris 49.9% (-7.1%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Norris 58.3%
Defensive zone Gaudreau 89.1%
Neutral zone Gaudreau 66.7%
Result Frederick Gaudreau favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Gaudreau Norris
Head-to-Head Record
3 - 6 (9 meetings)
3
6
Gaudreau Norris
Last 9: Gaudreau 3-6 Norris

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
1
5
Gaudreau Norris
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
1
Gaudreau Norris
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Gaudreau
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (414)
50.5% (388)
-5.6%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
47.6% (84)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (129)
42.9% (7)
-4.9%
On power play, Norris has a +15.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Norris shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Gaudreau shoots right. Norris is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Norris
Home
42.6% (277)
48.1% (233)
Away
43.1% (288)
51.6% (246)
By Period
Gaudreau
Norris
P1
44.1%
53.1%
P2
44.7%
49.2%
P3
39.5%
48.4%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
46.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%
42.5%
42.8%
Norris
54.0%
51.0%
49.9%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 28, 2026 3 16:19 Defensive Josh Norris
Mar 28, 2026 3 16:16 Offensive Frederick Gaudreau
Mar 28, 2026 2 15:44 Offensive Josh Norris
Mar 28, 2026 1 02:34 Defensive Frederick Gaudreau
Dec 14, 2025 2 13:44 Offensive Josh Norris
Dec 14, 2025 1 19:27 Offensive Josh Norris
Dec 14, 2025 1 13:08 Offensive Josh Norris
Dec 14, 2025 1 10:28 Offensive Josh Norris
Dec 14, 2025 1 10:21 Defensive Frederick Gaudreau