Frederick Gaudreau vs Josh Norris
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Gaudreau wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Norris 49.9% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 58.3%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 89.1%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 66.7%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Gaudreau
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Gaudreau
Norris
Last 9: Gaudreau 3-6 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
1
5
Gaudreau
Norris
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
1
Gaudreau
Norris
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (414)
50.5% (388)
-5.6%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
47.6% (84)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (129)
42.9% (7)
-4.9%
On power play, Norris has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Gaudreau shoots right. Norris is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Norris
Home
42.6% (277)
48.1% (233)
Away
43.1% (288)
51.6% (246)
By Period
Gaudreau
Norris
P1
44.1%
53.1%
P2
44.7%
49.2%
P3
39.5%
48.4%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 16:19 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 16:16 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 02:34 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 19:27 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 13:08 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 10:28 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 10:21 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |