Frederick Gaudreau vs Josh Norris
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Norris 52.1% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 57.6%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 73.1%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 55.4%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Gaudreau
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
10
(19 meetings)
9
10
Gaudreau
Norris
Last 10: Gaudreau 3-7 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
3
7
Gaudreau
Norris
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
5
2
Gaudreau
Norris
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudreau
Norris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (3,770)
52.5% (3,089)
-3.9%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
53.4% (412)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (793)
45.4% (240)
+1.3%
On even strength, Norris has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,499).
Gaudreau shoots right. Norris is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,321).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Norris
Home
49.2% (2,437)
53.1% (1,896)
Away
47.8% (2,345)
51.2% (1,845)
By Period
Gaudreau
Norris
P1
49.7%
55.5%
P2
47.3%
51.5%
P3
49.1%
50.1%
OT
35.5%
39.5%
Final 5 min
47.6%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
48.5%
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 16:19 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 16:16 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 02:34 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 19:27 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 13:08 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 10:28 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 10:21 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 02:52 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 09:01 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 08:45 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 11:59 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 09:03 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 18:59 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 09:18 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 3 | 01:49 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 2 | 05:13 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |