Frederick Gaudreau vs Kevin Hayes
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Hayes 42.7% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 77.0%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 85.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 59.4%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 77.0%
23.0%
77.0%
Gaudreau
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Gaudreau
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Gaudreau
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (414)
31.9% (91)
+13.0%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
64.3% (14)
-32.5%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (129)
0.0% (1)
+38.0%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +38.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Gaudreau shoots right. Hayes is 31.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Hayes
Home
42.6% (277)
30.6% (49)
Away
43.1% (288)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Gaudreau
Hayes
P1
44.1%
22.9%
P2
44.7%
40.0%
P3
39.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
47.2%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 05:06 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |