Scouting Report
Luke Kunin holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kunin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Kunin 50.3% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kunin 77.2%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 58.1%
Neutral zone
Kunin 68.6%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 77.2%
22.8%
77.2%
Gaudreau
Kunin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Gaudreau
Kunin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Kunin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Kunin
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (414)
51.5% (305)
-6.6%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
55.6% (9)
-23.8%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (129)
43.9% (57)
-5.9%
On power play, Kunin has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kunin shoots right. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Gaudreau shoots right. Kunin is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (93).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Kunin
Home
42.6% (277)
50.0% (178)
Away
43.1% (288)
50.8% (193)
By Period
Gaudreau
Kunin
P1
44.1%
53.0%
P2
44.7%
53.8%
P3
39.5%
44.1%
Final 5 min
47.2%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Kunin
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 15:54 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |