Frederick Gaudreau vs Marco Kasper
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Marco Kasper holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kasper shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Kasper 50.0% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 75.1%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 78.1%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 50.9%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Gaudreau
Kasper
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Gaudreau
Kasper
Last 8: Gaudreau 4-4 Kasper
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
0
1
Gaudreau
Kasper
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Gaudreau
Kasper
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Kasper
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Kasper
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (414)
51.4% (366)
-6.5%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
33.3% (9)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (129)
31.6% (19)
+6.4%
On even strength, Kasper has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kasper shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Gaudreau shoots right. Kasper is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Kasper
Home
42.6% (277)
51.5% (194)
Away
43.1% (288)
48.5% (200)
By Period
Gaudreau
Kasper
P1
44.1%
54.1%
P2
44.7%
52.1%
P3
39.5%
43.4%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 04:49 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 08:36 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 10:48 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 11:51 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 17:31 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 17:13 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 16:57 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |