Frederick Gaudreau vs Marco Kasper
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Kasper 46.9% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 64.1%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 63.8%
Neutral zone
Kasper 51.4%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Gaudreau
Kasper
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Gaudreau
Kasper
Last 9: Gaudreau 4-5 Kasper
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
0
1
Gaudreau
Kasper
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Gaudreau
Kasper
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudreau
Kasper
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Kasper
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (3,770)
47.2% (960)
+1.4%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
46.9% (32)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (793)
30.6% (36)
+16.1%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kasper shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,499).
Gaudreau shoots right. Kasper is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Kasper
Home
49.2% (2,437)
49.4% (474)
Away
47.8% (2,345)
44.2% (554)
By Period
Gaudreau
Kasper
P1
49.7%
48.0%
P2
47.3%
51.0%
P3
49.1%
40.2%
OT
35.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.6%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
48.5%
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 04:49 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 08:36 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 10:48 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 11:51 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 17:31 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 17:13 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 16:57 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 13:07 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |