Frederick Gaudreau vs Mathew Barzal
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Barzal 41.9% (+2.5%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 77.3%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 79.0%
Neutral zone
Barzal 50.1%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Gaudreau
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (414)
40.9% (469)
+4.0%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
34.2% (38)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (129)
28.6% (7)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Gaudreau shoots right. Barzal is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Barzal
Home
42.6% (277)
39.2% (250)
Away
43.1% (288)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Gaudreau
Barzal
P1
44.1%
46.3%
P2
44.7%
36.7%
P3
39.5%
38.5%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.3%