Frederick Gaudreau vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs McCarron 52.6% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 11-2 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 80.3%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 69.6%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 67.2%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Gaudreau
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
11
(13 meetings)
2
11
Gaudreau
McCarron
Last 10: Gaudreau 2-8 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
7
Gaudreau
McCarron
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
4
Gaudreau
McCarron
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (3,770)
53.3% (2,926)
-4.7%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
45.3% (86)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (793)
50.1% (469)
-3.4%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Gaudreau is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,283).
Gaudreau shoots right. McCarron is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,056).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
McCarron
Home
49.2% (2,437)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
47.8% (2,345)
53.1% (1,785)
By Period
Gaudreau
McCarron
P1
49.7%
53.8%
P2
47.3%
52.3%
P3
49.1%
51.9%
OT
35.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.6%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
48.5%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 04:20 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 08:22 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 01:56 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 01:54 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 04:15 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 02:55 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 08:03 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 02:01 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 16:01 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 11:45 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |