Frederick Gaudreau vs Mikael Granlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Gaudreau wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Granlund 49.5% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Gaudreau leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 93.2%
Defensive zone
Granlund 51.7%
Neutral zone
Granlund 87.6%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 75.4%
24.6%
75.4%
Gaudreau
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Gaudreau
Granlund
Last 10: Gaudreau 6-4 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
2
4
Gaudreau
Granlund
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
5
0
Gaudreau
Granlund
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (414)
49.7% (493)
-4.8%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
58.6% (111)
-26.8%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (129)
31.1% (61)
+6.9%
On power play, Granlund has a +26.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Gaudreau shoots right. Granlund is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Granlund
Home
42.6% (277)
54.7% (276)
Away
43.1% (288)
45.8% (389)
By Period
Gaudreau
Granlund
P1
44.1%
52.2%
P2
44.7%
49.3%
P3
39.5%
47.4%
OT
0.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
47.2%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 03:45 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 03:19 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 19:45 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 15:38 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:47 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 09:52 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |