Frederick Gaudreau vs Morgan Geekie
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Geekie 47.7% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 86.3%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 86.5%
Neutral zone
Geekie 61.1%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Gaudreau
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Gaudreau
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
Gaudreau
Geekie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
0
Gaudreau
Geekie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (414)
46.7% (120)
-1.8%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
48.6% (35)
-16.8%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (129)
0.0% (3)
+38.0%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +38.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Gaudreau shoots right. Geekie is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Geekie
Home
42.6% (277)
46.8% (77)
Away
43.1% (288)
45.7% (81)
By Period
Gaudreau
Geekie
P1
44.1%
42.4%
P2
44.7%
49.1%
P3
39.5%
47.6%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
35.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Geekie
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 05:06 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |