Frederick Gaudreau vs Nick Bjugstad
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Gaudreau wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.3% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 71.2%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 58.3%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 50.0%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Gaudreau
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Gaudreau
Bjugstad
Last 9: Gaudreau 7-2 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
0
Gaudreau
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Gaudreau
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
5
1
Gaudreau
Bjugstad
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (770)
49.4% (867)
-1.0%
Power Play
58.7% (46)
56.0% (25)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (199)
40.7% (216)
+9.6%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Gaudreau is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Gaudreau shoots right. Bjugstad is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Bjugstad
Home
51.1% (507)
46.5% (480)
Away
47.4% (508)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Gaudreau
Bjugstad
P1
49.4%
48.7%
P2
47.4%
45.6%
P3
51.2%
49.1%
OT
46.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
42.0%▼
47.5%
49.3%
Bjugstad
44.0%▼
49.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:38 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 3 | 00:19 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 2 | 18:49 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 1 | 18:26 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |