Frederick Gaudreau vs Nick Bjugstad

2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Frederick Gaudreau holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Gaudreau wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Gaudreau 49.3% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (+1.5%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Gaudreau 71.2%
Defensive zone Bjugstad 58.3%
Neutral zone Gaudreau 50.0%
Result Frederick Gaudreau favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Gaudreau Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
7 - 2 (9 meetings)
7
2
Gaudreau Bjugstad
Last 9: Gaudreau 7-2 Bjugstad

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
0
Gaudreau Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Gaudreau Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
5
1
Gaudreau Bjugstad
6 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Gaudreau
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (770)
49.4% (867)
-1.0%
Power Play
58.7% (46)
56.0% (25)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (199)
40.7% (216)
+9.6%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +9.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Gaudreau is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Gaudreau shoots right. Bjugstad is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Bjugstad
Home
51.1% (507)
46.5% (480)
Away
47.4% (508)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Gaudreau
Bjugstad
P1
49.4%
48.7%
P2
47.4%
45.6%
P3
51.2%
49.1%
OT
46.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
45.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
42.0%
47.5%
49.3%
Bjugstad
44.0%
49.0%
47.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 14, 2023 2 19:38 Neutral Frederick Gaudreau
Jan 14, 2023 2 00:00 Neutral Frederick Gaudreau
Jan 14, 2023 1 00:00 Neutral Frederick Gaudreau
Nov 27, 2022 3 00:19 Offensive Frederick Gaudreau
Nov 27, 2022 3 00:00 Neutral Frederick Gaudreau
Nov 27, 2022 2 18:49 Offensive Frederick Gaudreau
Nov 27, 2022 2 00:00 Neutral Nick Bjugstad
Nov 27, 2022 1 18:26 Defensive Nick Bjugstad
Nov 27, 2022 1 00:00 Neutral Frederick Gaudreau