Frederick Gaudreau vs Pavel Zacha
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Zacha 51.8% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 90.5%
Defensive zone
Zacha 53.8%
Neutral zone
Zacha 80.7%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 69.7%
30.3%
69.7%
Gaudreau
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Gaudreau
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Gaudreau
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
0
Gaudreau
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (414)
53.0% (700)
-8.1%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
54.1% (109)
-22.3%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (129)
39.2% (74)
-1.2%
On power play, Zacha has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Gaudreau shoots right. Zacha is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Zacha
Home
42.6% (277)
51.6% (438)
Away
43.1% (288)
52.4% (445)
By Period
Gaudreau
Zacha
P1
44.1%
57.0%
P2
44.7%
48.9%
P3
39.5%
50.5%
OT
0.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
47.2%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:20 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 18:03 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 02:15 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 10:01 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |