Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Suter on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.4% vs Suter 43.3% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suter 67.0%
Defensive zone
Suter 61.1%
Neutral zone
Suter 62.3%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Gaudreau
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Gaudreau
Suter
Last 7: Gaudreau 3-4 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suter
0
4
Gaudreau
Suter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudreau
Suter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
1
Gaudreau
Suter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (858)
42.4% (740)
+6.8%
Power Play
39.0% (41)
48.0% (75)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (198)
37.3% (59)
+8.7%
On power play, Suter has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Gaudreau is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Gaudreau shoots right. Suter is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Suter
Home
47.1% (546)
41.8% (407)
Away
49.4% (551)
43.3% (467)
By Period
Gaudreau
Suter
P1
46.8%
44.7%
P2
46.8%
41.5%
P3
51.1%
41.9%
OT
40.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
42.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Suter
46.0%▼
48.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 09:05 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 02:31 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 02:21 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 11:58 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pius Suter |