Frederick Gaudreau vs Robert Thomas
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Thomas 51.9% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 58.3%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 90.3%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 77.3%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Gaudreau
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Gaudreau
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Gaudreau
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Gaudreau
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (414)
50.3% (652)
-5.4%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
61.5% (104)
-29.7%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (129)
54.2% (120)
-16.2%
On power play, Thomas has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Gaudreau shoots right. Thomas is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Thomas
Home
42.6% (277)
52.0% (400)
Away
43.1% (288)
52.3% (476)
By Period
Gaudreau
Thomas
P1
44.1%
49.6%
P2
44.7%
55.4%
P3
39.5%
51.0%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.2%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 16:55 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 07:07 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |