Frederick Gaudreau vs Ross Colton
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Colton 49.2% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 57.9%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 90.0%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 70.4%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Gaudreau
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Gaudreau
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
2
Gaudreau
Colton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (414)
47.3% (91)
-2.4%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
71.4% (7)
-39.6%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (129)
0.0% (1)
+38.0%
On power play, Colton has a +39.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Gaudreau shoots right. Colton is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (40).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Colton
Home
42.6% (277)
46.9% (49)
Away
43.1% (288)
50.0% (50)
By Period
Gaudreau
Colton
P1
44.1%
56.4%
P2
44.7%
47.1%
P3
39.5%
38.5%
Final 5 min
47.2%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Colton
46.0%▲
44.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 14:25 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 01:44 | Offensive | Ross Colton |