Frederick Gaudreau vs Ryan Donato
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Donato on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudreau wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Donato 47.1% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 63.6%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 85.3%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 59.3%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Gaudreau
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Gaudreau
Donato
Last 5: Gaudreau 1-4 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
3
Gaudreau
Donato
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudreau
Donato
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (414)
46.8% (297)
-1.9%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
41.0% (39)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (129)
100.0% (1)
-62.0%
On penalty kill, Donato has a +62.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Gaudreau shoots right. Donato is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Donato
Home
42.6% (277)
45.8% (142)
Away
43.1% (288)
46.7% (195)
By Period
Gaudreau
Donato
P1
44.1%
49.5%
P2
44.7%
45.7%
P3
39.5%
43.4%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 17:30 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 06:35 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 05:08 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |