Frederick Gaudreau vs Ryan Donato
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Donato on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Donato 44.7% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Donato leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Donato 82.8%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 70.3%
Neutral zone
Donato 55.3%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Gaudreau
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
11
(20 meetings)
9
11
Gaudreau
Donato
Last 10: Gaudreau 3-7 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
1
6
Gaudreau
Donato
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
6
2
Gaudreau
Donato
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
2
3
Gaudreau
Donato
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (3,770)
44.0% (1,218)
+4.6%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
46.0% (248)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (793)
41.7% (12)
+5.0%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,499).
Gaudreau shoots right. Donato is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (569).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Donato
Home
49.2% (2,437)
47.2% (743)
Away
47.8% (2,345)
41.4% (735)
By Period
Gaudreau
Donato
P1
49.7%
43.8%
P2
47.3%
44.9%
P3
49.1%
43.7%
OT
35.5%
70.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
48.5%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 17:30 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 06:35 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 05:08 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:47 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 19:59 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 06:26 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 11:40 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 08:18 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 3 | 11:03 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 2 | 06:40 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 10:46 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 10:28 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 10:12 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 03:43 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 17:22 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 1 | 17:07 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 17:18 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |