Who wins more faceoffs, Frederick Gaudreau or Ryan O'Reilly?

Ryan O'Reilly leads the head-to-head 9-3 across 12 faceoffs.

What is Frederick Gaudreau's faceoff record against Ryan O'Reilly?

Frederick Gaudreau is 3-9 against Ryan O'Reilly in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 2-7, Defensive 1-1, Neutral 0-1.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Frederick Gaudreau or Ryan O'Reilly?

Frederick Gaudreau is the predicted winner with a 74.9% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Frederick Gaudreau vs Ryan O'Reilly

Frederick GaudreauR vs Ryan O'ReillyL

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Ryan O'Reilly holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Gaudreau wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Gaudreau 43.9% vs O'Reilly 55.0% (-12.6%)

H2H factor O'Reilly leads 9-3 in 12 meetings

Offensive zone Gaudreau 69.4%

Defensive zone Gaudreau 93.5%

Neutral zone Gaudreau 87.2%

Result Frederick Gaudreau favored at 74.9%

74.9%

25.1%

Gaudreau O'Reilly

Head-to-Head Record

3 - 9 (12 meetings)

Gaudreau O'Reilly

Last 10: Gaudreau 3-7 O'Reilly

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: O'Reilly

Gaudreau O'Reilly

9 total

Defensive Zone

Even

Gaudreau O'Reilly

2 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: O'Reilly

Gaudreau O'Reilly

1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Gaudreau

O'Reilly

Edge

Even Strength

44.9% (414)

55.7% (856)

-10.8%

Power Play

31.8% (22)

57.5% (233)

-25.7%

Penalty Kill

38.0% (129)

50.0% (144)

-12.0%

On power play, O'Reilly has a +25.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

O'Reilly shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).

Gaudreau shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (530).

Home / Away

Gaudreau

O'Reilly

Home

42.6% (277)

55.5% (616)

Away

43.1% (288)

55.3% (617)

By Period

Gaudreau

O'Reilly

44.1%

58.1%

44.7%

54.9%

39.5%

53.9%

0.0%

50.0%

Final 5 min

47.2%

56.3%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Gaudreau

40.0%▼

42.5%

42.8%

O'Reilly

54.0%▬

55.0%

55.4%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Mar 19, 2026	2	06:57	Offensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Mar 19, 2026	2	02:12	Offensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Mar 19, 2026	1	09:20	Offensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Mar 19, 2026	1	05:31	Offensive	Frederick Gaudreau
Mar 10, 2026	2	14:25	Neutral	Ryan O'Reilly
Mar 10, 2026	2	03:11	Offensive	Frederick Gaudreau
Mar 10, 2026	2	02:51	Offensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Mar 10, 2026	1	19:44	Defensive	Frederick Gaudreau
Mar 10, 2026	1	03:12	Defensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Jan 1, 2026	3	11:43	Offensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Jan 1, 2026	3	08:09	Offensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Jan 1, 2026	1	08:28	Offensive	Ryan O'Reilly

Gaudreau's Profile | O'Reilly's Profile