Frederick Gaudreau vs Ryan Poehling
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Gaudreau wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Poehling 48.0% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Poehling leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 71.1%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 76.0%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 72.7%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 74.0%
74.0%
26.0%
Gaudreau
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Gaudreau
Poehling
Last 10: Gaudreau 3-7 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Gaudreau
Poehling
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
5
Gaudreau
Poehling
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (414)
50.4% (680)
-5.5%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
58.3% (12)
-26.5%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (129)
38.8% (219)
-0.8%
On power play, Poehling has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Gaudreau shoots right. Poehling is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Poehling
Home
42.6% (277)
47.4% (422)
Away
43.1% (288)
48.1% (489)
By Period
Gaudreau
Poehling
P1
44.1%
53.3%
P2
44.7%
40.3%
P3
39.5%
50.0%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 17:06 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 19:27 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 01:55 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 19:34 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 04:51 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 02:05 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 13:40 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 10:39 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 02:34 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 02:21 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |