Frederick Gaudreau vs Sidney Crosby
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Gaudreau wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Crosby 55.1% (-12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 78.9%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 90.7%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 63.7%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Gaudreau
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Gaudreau
Crosby
Last 9: Gaudreau 3-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
5
Gaudreau
Crosby
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
3
1
Gaudreau
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (414)
53.3% (1,025)
-8.4%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
64.7% (249)
-32.9%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (129)
60.0% (15)
-22.0%
On power play, Crosby has a +32.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Gaudreau shoots right. Crosby is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (375).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Crosby
Home
42.6% (277)
56.9% (675)
Away
43.1% (288)
54.1% (614)
By Period
Gaudreau
Crosby
P1
44.1%
55.1%
P2
44.7%
53.1%
P3
39.5%
58.5%
OT
0.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
47.2%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 17:02 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 14:36 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 03:29 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:22 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 11:41 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 07:38 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |