Frederick Gaudreau vs Tomas Hertl
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Hertl 54.3% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 27-20 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 68.7%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 85.2%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 75.2%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 75.9%
75.9%
24.1%
Gaudreau
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
27
(47 meetings)
20
27
Gaudreau
Hertl
Last 10: Gaudreau 3-7 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
4
17
Gaudreau
Hertl
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
12
5
Gaudreau
Hertl
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
4
5
Gaudreau
Hertl
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (3,770)
53.9% (8,303)
-5.3%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
59.2% (1,995)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (793)
46.3% (806)
+0.4%
On power play, Hertl has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,499).
Gaudreau shoots right. Hertl is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,142).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Hertl
Home
49.2% (2,437)
55.8% (5,382)
Away
47.8% (2,345)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Gaudreau
Hertl
P1
49.7%
53.6%
P2
47.3%
54.2%
P3
49.1%
55.3%
OT
35.5%
46.9%
Final 5 min
47.6%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
48.5%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 19:53 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 19:40 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 17:30 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 15:13 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 15:30 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 07:40 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 03:26 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 19:49 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 19:30 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 05:54 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:47 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 17:02 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 12:06 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 07:29 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 18:14 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 03:19 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 1 | 17:40 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 1 | 17:11 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 1 | 12:18 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |